So, I’m telling you there’s a chance. But barely.
The Jets are such long shots to win Super Bowl LII that doing so would be even more unlikely than something that’s never happened before: a 16-seed over a 1-seed in this year’s NCAA tournament. Any 16-seed over a 1-seed this year, that is.
Even the longest shot in the tournament’s first round, Mount St. Mary’s, has almost double the chance of a victory on Thursday as Gang Green does of going all the way this year. FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness model projects a 1.26% chance of Mount St. Mary’s beating Villanova, while the Jets are given .66% odds to win this year’s Super Bowl by Bovada. That number from Bovada presumably includes some of the house vigorish, so the sportsbook’s true odds for the Jets are probably a shade under that.
FiveThirtyEight even pegged the Mountaineers as having a .78% chance of winning their first-round matchup against the Wildcats before they won their play-in game over New Orleans on Tuesday. Still better than the Jets’ chances.
Not that this is much of a surprise to Jets fans. Usually winning the Super Bowl requires a quarterback, which is something Gang Green doesn’t really have at the moment. The team has also cast off a lot of its veteran talent in its attempt to rebuild for 2018 and beyond — when they probably plan on being better off than a bottom seed on the first day of March Madness.
Published at Thu, 16 Mar 2017 15:18:05 +0000